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JETS / transaction / 2026
✕ INCORRECT

If Breece Hall takes a new Jets contract after 2025, it will guarantee $25 million.

First call: Nov 9, 2025, 5:39 PM ET · Deadline: Jul 15, 2026, 4:00 PM ET · Historical archive

THE ORIGINAL TAKE
“he will get $25 mil guaranteed by taking an extension with the Jets.”
OPEN THE ORIGINAL POST ↗

What we’re scoring

Earlier explicit guarantee amount conditioned on an extension. The extension happened, so evaluate its stated amount; preserve later $30M and $32M revisions without additional scores.

The ruling

The signed contract guarantees $29 million, not $25 million.

View resolution evidence ↗

Timeline & revisions

  1. Nov 9, 2025, 5:39 PM ET · originalIf Breece Hall takes a new Jets contract after 2025, it will guarantee $25 million.Source post ↗
  2. Nov 12, 2025, 8:10 PM ET · revisionBreece Hall's new Jets contract will guarantee $30 million.Source post ↗
  3. May 5, 2026, 1:02 PM ET · revisionBreece Hall's new Jets contract will guarantee $32 million.Source post ↗
  4. May 5, 2026, 2:15 PM ET · revisionBreece Hall will receive between $30 million and $32 million over the effective two-year portion of his new deal.Source post ↗
Public review history (8)
  1. Sep 24, 2026, 11:53 AM ET · approve

    Three independently stated nominal contract terms are evaluated separately. Do not score derived annual averages or effectively-two-year restatements again. The later post-agreement $32M guess is not a new pre-event prediction.

  2. Sep 24, 2026, 11:53 AM ET · verdict

    The signed deal guarantees $29 million, not $32 million.

  3. Sep 24, 2026, 11:53 AM ET · revision

    Later softened range for the same guaranteed/effective two-year money projection. Context in the earlier post explicitly distinguishes nominal three-year term from effective guaranteed years. Preserve revision, do not create another miss.

  4. Sep 24, 2026, 2:34 PM ET · verdict

    Earlier explicit guarantee amount conditioned on an extension. The extension happened, so evaluate its stated amount; preserve later $30M and $32M revisions without additional scores.

  5. Sep 24, 2026, 2:34 PM ET · earliest-call-reconciled

    Earlier explicit guarantee amount conditioned on an extension. The extension happened, so evaluate its stated amount; preserve later $30M and $32M revisions without additional scores.

  6. Sep 24, 2026, 2:34 PM ET · verdict

    The signed contract guarantees $29 million, not $25 million.

  7. Sep 24, 2026, 2:34 PM ET · revision

    Later revised guarantee estimate; one canonical guaranteed-money outcome.

  8. Sep 24, 2026, 2:38 PM ET · review-note

    Earlier explicit guarantee amount conditioned on an extension. The extension happened, so evaluate its stated amount; preserve later $30M and $32M revisions without additional scores. Jev advisory reviewed: Earliest positive extension prediction supersedes later negative original, preserving reversal history. Term, nominal amount and guarantee are independent terms; revised dollar estimates link once each. Explicit no-tag mechanism is separate from eventual extension. Top-three pay rank evaluated at signing using annual contract value.

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