Sam Darnold final two games of the 2024 season will cost him a four-year, $200 million contract.
First call: Jan 13, 2025, 9:13 PM ET · Deadline: Sep 1, 2025, 12:00 AM ET · Historical archive
“These last 2 games will cost darnold a 4 year 200 million dollar contract.”OPEN THE ORIGINAL POST ↗
What we’re scoring
Counterfactual contract value and causal attribution are not established by the smaller actual agreement. Preserve this separately from predictions of the actual next contract.
The ruling
Darnold signed for three years and $100.5 million. That does not establish a foregone four-year, $200 million offer or its cause.
View resolution evidence ↗Timeline & revisions
- Jan 13, 2025, 9:13 PM ET · originalSam Darnold final two games of the 2024 season will cost him a four-year, $200 million contract.Source post ↗
Public review history (3)
- Sep 24, 2026, 5:27 PM ET · approve
Counterfactual contract value and causal attribution are not established by the smaller actual agreement. Preserve this separately from predictions of the actual next contract.
- Sep 24, 2026, 5:27 PM ET · verdict
Darnold signed for three years and $100.5 million. That does not establish a foregone four-year, $200 million offer or its cause.
- Sep 24, 2026, 5:28 PM ET · review-note
Counterfactual contract value and causal attribution are not established by the smaller actual agreement. Preserve this separately from predictions of the actual next contract. Jev advisory and original-source context manually reviewed; source-specific review decisions retained in the batch audit.
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