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JETS / season / 2025
⊘ VOID

If Aaron Rodgers returns to the Jets, they will win four games in the 2025 season.

First call: Jan 16, 2025, 2:53 PM ET · Deadline: Jan 5, 2026, 12:00 AM ET · Historical archive

THE ORIGINAL TAKE
“Another 4 win season if rodgers is back.”
OPEN THE ORIGINAL POST ↗

What we’re scoring

Plain four-win-season-if-Rodgers-returns statement is the first clear conditional 2025 quantity forecast. Rodgers did not return, so void; later unconditional totals remain unscored revisions.

The ruling

The Jets released Rodgers on March 12, 2025. He did not return for the 2025 season, so the explicit premise was not met. Later unconditional win totals are revisions of this quantity family, not extra scored predictions.

View resolution evidence ↗

Timeline & revisions

  1. Jan 16, 2025, 2:53 PM ET · originalIf Aaron Rodgers returns to the Jets, they will win four games in the 2025 season.Source post ↗
  2. Feb 1, 2025, 12:10 AM ET · revisionIf Aaron Rodgers plays for the Jets in 2025, they will win five games.Source post ↗
  3. Feb 28, 2025, 7:31 PM ET · revisionThe Jets will win five or six games in the 2025 regular season.Source post ↗
  4. Apr 18, 2025, 11:29 AM ET · revisionThe Jets will win about four or five games in the 2025 regular season.Source post ↗
  5. May 9, 2025, 6:50 PM ET · revisionThe Jets will win between seven and nine games in the 2025 regular season.Source post ↗
  6. May 21, 2025, 4:47 PM ET · revisionThe Jets will win between seven and nine games in the 2025 regular season.Source post ↗
  7. May 29, 2025, 12:21 PM ET · revisionThe Jets will win between seven and nine games in the 2025 regular season.Source post ↗
  8. Jun 11, 2025, 2:24 PM ET · revisionThe Jets will win seven games in 2025, with a chance at nine if favorable bounces go their way.Source post ↗
  9. Jun 23, 2025, 9:48 AM ET · revisionThe Jets are a seven-win team in 2025 that could reach nine wins with favorable bounces.Source post ↗
  10. Jun 25, 2025, 7:30 PM ET · revisionThe Jets will win seven to nine games in the 2025 regular season.Source post ↗
  11. Jun 26, 2025, 10:15 AM ET · revisionThe Jets will win seven to nine games in the 2025 regular season.Source post ↗
  12. Jul 7, 2025, 3:06 PM ET · revisionIf the Jets build their offense around Justin Fields legs, they will win seven to ten games in 2025.Source post ↗
  13. Jul 7, 2025, 4:34 PM ET · revisionThe Jets will win seven to ten games in 2025 if they run the offense as described in the quoted proposal.Source post ↗
  14. Jul 9, 2025, 9:29 AM ET · revisionIf the Jets lean into Justin Fields running ability, they will win seven to ten games in 2025.Source post ↗
  15. Jul 10, 2025, 11:29 PM ET · revisionThe Jets will win seven to nine games in the 2025 regular season.Source post ↗
  16. Jul 23, 2025, 6:52 PM ET · revisionThe Jets will win seven to nine games in the 2025 regular season.Source post ↗
  17. Jul 31, 2025, 10:40 AM ET · revisionThe Jets are a seven-win team in 2025, with a chance at nine wins if favorable bounces go their way.Source post ↗
  18. Aug 2, 2025, 10:04 AM ET · revisionThe Jets will win seven to nine games in the 2025 regular season.Source post ↗
  19. Aug 2, 2025, 10:23 AM ET · revisionThe Jets will win seven to nine games in the 2025 regular season.Source post ↗
  20. Aug 3, 2025, 9:49 AM ET · revisionThe Jets will win seven to nine games in the 2025 regular season.Source post ↗
  21. Aug 4, 2025, 1:41 PM ET · revisionThe Jets will win seven to nine games in the 2025 regular season.Source post ↗
  22. Aug 4, 2025, 3:05 PM ET · revisionThe Jets will win seven to nine games in 2025 if the coaches encourage Justin Fields to run as much as possible.Source post ↗
  23. Aug 4, 2025, 3:41 PM ET · revisionThe Jets will win seven to nine games in the 2025 regular season.Source post ↗
  24. Aug 4, 2025, 6:47 PM ET · revisionThe Jets are a seven-win team in 2025 and can reach nine wins if the ball bounces their way a few times.Source post ↗
  25. Aug 5, 2025, 10:29 AM ET · revisionThe Jets will win seven to nine games in the 2025 regular season.Source post ↗
  26. Aug 5, 2025, 2:59 PM ET · revisionThe Jets will win seven to nine games in the 2025 regular season.Source post ↗
  27. Aug 9, 2025, 4:31 PM ET · revisionThe Jets will win between seven and nine games in the 2025 regular season.Source post ↗
  28. Aug 16, 2025, 8:09 PM ET · revisionThe Jets will win between seven and nine games in the 2025 regular season.Source post ↗
  29. Aug 22, 2025, 2:03 PM ET · revisionThe Jets will win seven games in the 2025 regular season.Source post ↗
  30. Aug 24, 2025, 1:17 PM ET · revisionThe Jets will win between seven and nine regular-season games in 2025.Source post ↗
  31. Aug 25, 2025, 10:50 PM ET · revisionThe Jets will win between seven and nine regular-season games in 2025.Source post ↗
  32. Aug 27, 2025, 11:35 AM ET · revisionThe Jets will win between seven and nine regular-season games in 2025.Source post ↗
  33. Aug 27, 2025, 7:30 PM ET · revisionThe Jets will win between seven and nine regular-season games in 2025.Source post ↗
  34. Sep 2, 2025, 12:26 PM ET · revisionThe Jets will win between seven and nine regular-season games in 2025.Source post ↗
  35. Oct 5, 2025, 2:47 PM ET · revisionThe Jets will finish the 2025 regular season 0-17.Source post ↗
  36. Nov 8, 2025, 5:20 PM ET · revisionAfter starting 1-7, the Jets will win another two or three games during the 2025 regular season.Source post ↗
  37. Nov 8, 2025, 6:24 PM ET · revisionAfter starting 1-7, the Jets will win another three or four games in 2025, beating Cleveland, New Orleans and Miami and possibly Atlanta.Source post ↗
Public review history (67)
  1. Sep 24, 2026, 3:38 PM ET · approve

    Should is an expectation in a direct will-they-win question, not a recommendation to lose. Posting during another game does not make the remaining-season forecast retrospective.

  2. Sep 24, 2026, 3:38 PM ET · verdict

    The Jets won 39-38 at Cincinnati on October 26, permanently ruling out a winless 2025 season.

  3. Sep 24, 2026, 3:39 PM ET · review-note

    Should is an expectation in a direct will-they-win question, not a recommendation to lose. Posting during another game does not make the remaining-season forecast retrospective. Jev advisory reviewed: 2025zero-win expectation contradicted byOctober26win. During-gameDaboll league-response forecast madebefore next-dayreview, satisfiedbyOctober24fine; doesnotclaimfineamount. Originaltiming/evidence/Jev reviewed.

  4. Sep 24, 2026, 4:27 PM ET · verdict

    Earlier season-wins projection replaces the later winless original using the legacy key. Older cohort contains an earlier seven-to-nine call; root must preserve that as final canonical.

  5. Sep 24, 2026, 4:27 PM ET · earliest-call-reconciled

    Earlier season-wins projection replaces the later winless original using the legacy key. Older cohort contains an earlier seven-to-nine call; root must preserve that as final canonical.

  6. Sep 24, 2026, 4:27 PM ET · verdict

    The Jets finished 3-14 in 2025, outside seven through nine wins.

  7. Sep 24, 2026, 4:28 PM ET · repeat

    Repeated seven-to-nine season-win call, one canonical score across revised totals.

  8. Sep 24, 2026, 4:28 PM ET · repeat

    Repeated seven-to-nine season-win call, one canonical score across revised totals.

  9. Sep 24, 2026, 4:28 PM ET · repeat

    Repeated seven-to-nine season-win call, one canonical score across revised totals.

  10. Sep 24, 2026, 4:28 PM ET · repeat

    Repeated seven-to-nine season-win call, one canonical score across revised totals.

  11. Sep 24, 2026, 4:39 PM ET · review-note

    Earlier season-wins projection replaces the later winless original using the legacy key. Older cohort contains an earlier seven-to-nine call; root must preserve that as final canonical. Jev advisory and original-source context manually reviewed; source-specific review decisions retained in the batch audit.

  12. Sep 24, 2026, 4:39 PM ET · verdict

    Earliest clear seven-to-nine-win forecast in this cohort. Preserve the legacy canonical key and link later exact-seven and zero-win revisions without another score.

  13. Sep 24, 2026, 4:39 PM ET · earliest-call-reconciled

    Earliest clear seven-to-nine-win forecast in this cohort. Preserve the legacy canonical key and link later exact-seven and zero-win revisions without another score.

  14. Sep 24, 2026, 4:39 PM ET · verdict

    The Jets finished the 2025 regular season 3-14.

  15. Sep 24, 2026, 4:42 PM ET · revision

    Later repetition or revision of the same event/proposition; preserve wording and chronology without an additional score.

  16. Sep 24, 2026, 4:43 PM ET · review-note

    Earliest clear seven-to-nine-win forecast in this cohort. Preserve the legacy canonical key and link later exact-seven and zero-win revisions without another score. Jev advisory and original-source context manually reviewed; source-specific review decisions retained in the batch audit.

  17. Sep 24, 2026, 4:44 PM ET · verdict

    Earlier seven-to-nine-win forecast; retain legacy season-wins key and keep later revisions unscored.

  18. Sep 24, 2026, 4:44 PM ET · earliest-call-reconciled

    Earlier seven-to-nine-win forecast; retain legacy season-wins key and keep later revisions unscored.

  19. Sep 24, 2026, 4:44 PM ET · verdict

    The Jets finished the season 3-14.

  20. Sep 24, 2026, 4:48 PM ET · review-note

    Earlier seven-to-nine-win forecast; retain legacy season-wins key and keep later revisions unscored. Jev advisory and original-source context manually reviewed; source-specific review decisions retained in the batch audit.

  21. Sep 24, 2026, 4:48 PM ET · verdict

    Earlier definite numerical season forecast. Preserve later seven-win and zero-win revisions under the existing canonical wins key.

  22. Sep 24, 2026, 4:48 PM ET · earliest-call-reconciled

    Earlier definite numerical season forecast. Preserve later seven-win and zero-win revisions under the existing canonical wins key.

  23. Sep 24, 2026, 4:48 PM ET · verdict

    The Jets finished the 2025 regular season 3-14.

  24. Sep 24, 2026, 4:48 PM ET · repeat

    Repeated season-win forecast; one score for the original.

  25. Sep 24, 2026, 4:48 PM ET · repeat

    Repeated season-win forecast; one score for the original.

  26. Sep 24, 2026, 4:48 PM ET · repeat

    Repeated season-win forecast; one score for the original.

  27. Sep 24, 2026, 4:48 PM ET · repeat

    Repeated season-win forecast; one score for the original.

  28. Sep 24, 2026, 4:48 PM ET · repeat

    Repeated season-win forecast; one score for the original.

  29. Sep 24, 2026, 4:48 PM ET · repeat

    Repeated season-win forecast; one score for the original.

  30. Sep 24, 2026, 4:48 PM ET · repeat

    Repeated season-win forecast; one score for the original.

  31. Sep 24, 2026, 4:48 PM ET · revision

    Later revised central estimate of seven, with conditional nine-win upside. Keep authored distinctions without scoring new totals.

  32. Sep 24, 2026, 4:49 PM ET · revision

    Repeated seven-win baseline and conditional nine-win possibility, not an unconditional exact-nine prediction.

  33. Sep 24, 2026, 4:49 PM ET · revision

    Later conditional version; do not remove the coaching-usage premise or score it separately.

  34. Sep 24, 2026, 4:53 PM ET · review-note

    Earlier definite numerical season forecast. Preserve later seven-win and zero-win revisions under the existing canonical wins key. Jev advisory and original-source context manually reviewed; source-specific review decisions retained in the batch audit.

  35. Sep 24, 2026, 4:55 PM ET · verdict

    Earlier source quote explicitly discusses seeing four wins, so the reply seven-to-nine is a Jets season-win forecast. Full live quote context resolves the shorthand.

  36. Sep 24, 2026, 4:55 PM ET · earliest-call-reconciled

    Earlier source quote explicitly discusses seeing four wins, so the reply seven-to-nine is a Jets season-win forecast. Full live quote context resolves the shorthand.

  37. Sep 24, 2026, 4:55 PM ET · verdict

    The Jets finished the 2025 regular season 3-14.

  38. Sep 24, 2026, 4:55 PM ET · repeat

    Later explicit repetition of the seven-to-nine-win original established by the June25 reply context.

  39. Sep 24, 2026, 4:57 PM ET · revision

    Later repetition or revision of the same proposition; preserve wording and count the original once.

  40. Sep 24, 2026, 4:57 PM ET · revision

    Later repetition or revision of the same proposition; preserve wording and count the original once.

  41. Sep 24, 2026, 4:57 PM ET · revision

    Later repetition or revision of the same proposition; preserve wording and count the original once.

  42. Sep 24, 2026, 4:58 PM ET · repeat

    Later repetition or revision of the same proposition; preserve wording and count the original once.

  43. Sep 24, 2026, 5:00 PM ET · review-note

    Earlier source quote explicitly discusses seeing four wins, so the reply seven-to-nine is a Jets season-win forecast. Full live quote context resolves the shorthand. Jev advisory and original-source context manually reviewed; source-specific review decisions retained in the batch audit.

  44. Sep 24, 2026, 5:12 PM ET · verdict

    Earlier numerical baseline of seven wins, with expressly conditional nine-win upside. Preserve later seven-to-nine and zero-win revisions under the legacy key.

  45. Sep 24, 2026, 5:12 PM ET · earliest-call-reconciled

    Earlier numerical baseline of seven wins, with expressly conditional nine-win upside. Preserve later seven-to-nine and zero-win revisions under the legacy key.

  46. Sep 24, 2026, 5:13 PM ET · verdict

    The Jets finished the 2025 regular season 3-14.

  47. Sep 24, 2026, 5:13 PM ET · revision

    Repeated baseline and conditional upside, not an unconditional exact-nine forecast.

  48. Sep 24, 2026, 5:15 PM ET · review-note

    Earlier numerical baseline of seven wins, with expressly conditional nine-win upside. Preserve later seven-to-nine and zero-win revisions under the legacy key. Jev advisory and original-source context manually reviewed; source-specific review decisions retained in the batch audit.

  49. Sep 24, 2026, 5:17 PM ET · verdict

    Earliest clear numerical record forecast in this cohort; legacy wins:zero key retains later evolving projections.

  50. Sep 24, 2026, 5:17 PM ET · earliest-call-reconciled

    Earliest clear numerical record forecast in this cohort; legacy wins:zero key retains later evolving projections.

  51. Sep 24, 2026, 5:17 PM ET · verdict

    The Jets finished the 2025 regular season 3-14.

  52. Sep 24, 2026, 5:17 PM ET · repeat

    Later seven-win baseline with favorable-bounce upside to nine; preserve qualification in source, no extra score.

  53. Sep 24, 2026, 5:18 PM ET · repeat

    Later direct repeat of the same win range.

  54. Sep 24, 2026, 5:19 PM ET · review-note

    Earliest clear numerical record forecast in this cohort; legacy wins:zero key retains later evolving projections. Jev advisory and original-source context manually reviewed; source-specific review decisions retained in the batch audit.

  55. Sep 24, 2026, 5:21 PM ET · verdict

    Earlier original reconciled under the existing canonical key. Preserve about in the win range. Three wins cannot be graded against an invented tolerance, despite Jev contradiction. Generic QB selection is separate from franchise-quality: selecting Cade Klubnik does not prove franchise status, despite Jev supported.

  56. Sep 24, 2026, 5:21 PM ET · earliest-call-reconciled

    Earlier original reconciled under the existing canonical key. Preserve about in the win range. Three wins cannot be graded against an invented tolerance, despite Jev contradiction. Generic QB selection is separate from franchise-quality: selecting Cade Klubnik does not prove franchise status, despite Jev supported.

  57. Sep 24, 2026, 5:21 PM ET · verdict

    The Jets finished 3-14. The earlier original says about four or five, with no tolerance. Whether three counts as about four cannot be settled by inventing exact bounds. Later precise seven-to-nine revisions remain linked.

  58. Sep 24, 2026, 5:24 PM ET · review-note

    Earlier original reconciled under the existing canonical key. Preserve about in the win range. Three wins cannot be graded against an invented tolerance, despite Jev contradiction. Generic QB selection is separate from franchise-quality: selecting Cade Klubnik does not prove franchise status, despite Jev supported. Jev advisory and original-source context manually reviewed; source-specific review decisions retained in the batch audit.

  59. Sep 24, 2026, 5:24 PM ET · verdict

    Earlier definite numerical forecast supersedes later approximate four-to-five, seven-to-nine and zero-win revisions under the existing legacy key. Earlier if-Rodgers-returns scenarios are deferred because their condition failed.

  60. Sep 24, 2026, 5:24 PM ET · earliest-call-reconciled

    Earlier definite numerical forecast supersedes later approximate four-to-five, seven-to-nine and zero-win revisions under the existing legacy key. Earlier if-Rodgers-returns scenarios are deferred because their condition failed.

  61. Sep 24, 2026, 5:24 PM ET · verdict

    The Jets finished 2025 with three wins and 14 losses.

  62. Sep 24, 2026, 5:28 PM ET · review-note

    Earlier definite numerical forecast supersedes later approximate four-to-five, seven-to-nine and zero-win revisions under the existing legacy key. Earlier if-Rodgers-returns scenarios are deferred because their condition failed. Jev advisory and original-source context manually reviewed; source-specific review decisions retained in the batch audit.

  63. Sep 24, 2026, 7:57 PM ET · verdict

    Plain four-win-season-if-Rodgers-returns statement is the first clear conditional 2025 quantity forecast. Rodgers did not return, so void; later unconditional totals remain unscored revisions.

  64. Sep 24, 2026, 7:57 PM ET · earliest-call-reconciled

    Plain four-win-season-if-Rodgers-returns statement is the first clear conditional 2025 quantity forecast. Rodgers did not return, so void; later unconditional totals remain unscored revisions.

  65. Sep 24, 2026, 7:57 PM ET · verdict

    The Jets released Rodgers on March 12, 2025. He did not return for the 2025 season, so the explicit premise was not met. Later unconditional win totals are revisions of this quantity family, not extra scored predictions.

  66. Sep 24, 2026, 7:57 PM ET · revision

    If Rodgers plays governs both five wins and a top-seven 2026 pick. Wins is a later unscored revision; draft-order is an earlier reconciliation to void because Rodgers did not return.

  67. Sep 24, 2026, 8:10 PM ET · canonical-merge

    Remaining wins are a later revision of the same 2025 Jets season win-total quantity, not an independent result. Preserve the existing earliest canonical and its verdict, including the separately approved earlier conditional correction when applied. Do not change either stored verdict through this merge.

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